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Region · 129 analyses

United States reports

The US is not one payer. It is a commercial market segmented by plan, a Part B buy-and-bill channel, and a Part D pharmacy benefit — and an asset can win in one and lose in another.

Every United States report

CI · Neurology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Alzheimer's Disease Competitive Intelligence Lecanemab versus donanemab in early AD. CMS amyloid-confirmation coverage and ARIA monitoring as the access gate. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Immunology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Atopic Dermatitis Competitive Intelligence Dupilumab's 70% biologic share against JAK step-edits. A two-tier US payer landscape for IL-4Ra biologics and oral JAKs. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Metabolic · CI Team · Launch Lead US MASH Competitive Intelligence Rezdiffra and Wegovy now split the noncirrhotic MASH label. This is a Year 0 to Year 1 access and retention fight, not a pre-launch window. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Oncology · CI Team · Launch Lead US NSCLC Competitive Intelligence Four approved IO agents split 1L NSCLC into three PD-L1 cohorts. Pembrolizumab holds an estimated 52% share ahead of 2028 patent expiry. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Oncology · CI Team · Medical Affairs US NSCLC Disease Landscape US NSCLC segments by histology and biomarker before it segments by drug. This maps where patients are actually diagnosed and tested, and where the gap between diagnosis and treatment costs them. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Oncology · Launch Lead · CI Team US NSCLC Patient Flow Model Incidence-to-eligible NSCLC funnel by cohort with sourced conversion assumptions and a share waterfall. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Oncology · Market Access · Medical Affairs US NSCLC Payer & HTA CMS routes all four approved 1L NSCLC IO agents through Part B buy-and-bill at ASP+6%. But PD-L1 assay requirements split coverage into three distinct biomarker-testing tiers. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Metabolic · CI Team · Launch Lead US Obesity Competitive Intelligence Tirzepatide 20.9% versus semaglutide 15.3% weight loss. The Medicare coverage gap and commercial step-edit reality. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US PNH Competitive Intelligence Iptacopan oral pivot versus the anti-C5 IV class. Orphan-drug exclusion from IRA negotiation (US), NICE HST (UK) and SFDA lag (GCC). US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Medical Affairs US PNH Disease Landscape PNH diagnosis pathway, FLAER flow-cytometry bottleneck and the treated-prevalent pool across US centres. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US PNH Payer & HTA Why the orphan-drug exclusion shields anti-C5 agents from IRA negotiation, ICER's 2024 value verdict on iptacopan, and Part B vs Part D routing. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Metabolic · CI Team · Launch Lead US Type 2 Diabetes Competitive Intelligence Tirzepatide takes 41% of new GLP-1 starts; SELECT CV indication and IRA negotiation reshape US formulary access. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US IgA Nephropathy Competitive Intelligence From zero disease-specific drugs to five in three years: how endothelin, complement and APRIL inhibitors are redrawing the IgAN market. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Hereditary Angioedema Competitive Intelligence The prophylaxis class is fracturing along route: oral berotralstat and the first oral on-demand agent against a still-injectable antibody field. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US ATTR Amyloidosis Competitive Intelligence Tafamidis's ATTR-CM monopoly meets acoramidis — while the orphan-drug exclusion keeps the stabilizer class out of IRA price negotiation. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US ATTR Amyloidosis Disease Landscape Tc-PYP scintigraphy, not biopsy, is now the diagnostic gate in ATTR amyloidosis. This maps the ATTR-CM versus ATTR-PN split and the wild-type/hereditary divide across a largely undiagnosed population. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Hereditary Angioedema Disease Landscape HAE pathophysiology, the Type I/II split, attack burden and the diagnostic-delay problem that defines the US in-market landscape. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US IgA Nephropathy Disease Landscape US IgA nephropathy has shifted from RAS-blockade supportive care to five disease-modifying therapies. This maps the epidemiology and the biopsy-and-proteinuria diagnostic gate that still controls who reaches them. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US IgA Nephropathy Payer & HTA US payers gate the five FDA-approved IgAN therapies on biopsy, proteinuria and RAS-blockade step-through. The Filspari REMS, Part D routing and the ICER 2026 assessment set the rest of the access path. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US ATTR Amyloidosis Payer & HTA Tafamidis is shielded from IRA negotiation by the orphan-drug exclusion. ICER judged its ~$268K price ~85–95% too high, and acoramidis plus pending generics are the real net-price levers. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Hereditary Angioedema Payer & HTA Specialty-tier prior authorization, prophylaxis above $300K/patient/yr, ICER 2018/2021 value-based benchmarks and no-concurrent-acute-agent rules. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Myasthenia Gravis Disease Landscape Neuromuscular-junction autoantibody biology, the AChR/MuSK/seronegative split, and the crisis burden that defines US gMG. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Myasthenia Gravis Competitive Intelligence Three novel mechanisms in 24 months — FcRn antagonists vs C5 inhibitors, and the AChR+ vs MuSK+ line that segments the market. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Myasthenia Gravis Payer & HTA ICER priced efgartigimod's value at $18,300–28,400 a year, under half its ~$418,400 launch cost. That gap is hardening into a three-tier FcRn-to-C5 step-edit across US commercial plans. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Dravet Syndrome Competitive Intelligence Fenfluramine leads on efficacy, cannabidiol anchors the lower-cost branded option, and stiripentol holds the adjunct niche. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Gaucher Disease Disease Landscape Gaucher type 1 epidemiology, the Ashkenazi Jewish founder burden, GBA1 genotype–phenotype, and the 20-fold Parkinson's risk. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Gaucher Disease Payer & HTA IV enzyme replacement buy-and-bill under Part B vs oral SRT under Part D, the CYP2D6 PA gate, and generic miglustat. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Cold Agglutinin Disease Disease Landscape Cold agglutinin disease is a rare classical-complement autoimmune haemolytic anaemia driven by cold-reactive IgM. This separates primary CAD from cold agglutinin syndrome and sizes the US haemolysis burden. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Sickle Cell Disease Payer & HTA Gene-therapy access at $2.2–3.1M, the CMS Cell & Gene Therapy Access Model, VOC-freedom endpoints, and the hydroxyurea step-edit. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Gaucher Disease Competitive Intelligence Five FDA-approved Gaucher type 1 therapies (three IV enzyme replacement vs two oral substrate reduction) and eliglustat's oral first-line pivot. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Pompe Disease Competitive Intelligence Two next-generation ERTs are moving to displace alglucosidase alfa in US late-onset Pompe disease. Avalglucosidase alfa and cipaglucosidase alfa plus miglustat now define the competitive set. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Payer & HTA Zolgensma's $2.125M one-time cost, outcomes-based Medicaid contracts, and Part B vs Part D routing across three SMA modalities. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Cold Agglutinin Disease Payer & HTA Sutimlimab (Enjaymo) is a ~$260K+/year Part B IV biologic in a few-thousand-patient population — and not cost-effective at the current price. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Disease Landscape SMN1/SMN2 biology, the Type 1–4 severity spectrum, and how newborn screening splits SMA into pre-symptomatic and symptomatic populations. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Sickle Cell Disease Competitive Intelligence Two Dec-2023 gene therapies (Casgevy, Lyfgenia) reset a ~100,000-patient market, while voxelotor's 2024 withdrawal thins the oral field. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Fabry Disease Disease Landscape Fabry disease splits into classic childhood-onset and a largely undiagnosed later-onset cardiac form. An X-linked organ timeline and the ~35–50% amenable-mutation gate decide who is treatable. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Pompe Disease Disease Landscape GAA-deficiency biology, the LOPD-versus-IOPD split, the years-long diagnostic delay, and newborn screening across the US Pompe population. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Dravet Syndrome Disease Landscape US incidence 1 in 15,700, de novo SCN1A genetics, and one of the highest SUDEP rates documented in epilepsy. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead US Sickle Cell Disease Disease Landscape SCD epidemiology, genotype mix, VOC and organ-damage burden, and the 22-year life-expectancy gap across the US in-market population. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Dravet Syndrome Payer & HTA Fintepla's list price runs roughly 3x Epidiolex, and payer scrutiny turns on high WAC against a small, severe paediatric population. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Pompe Disease Payer & HTA Pompe ERT costs near $400,000 a year in Part B, and remains the only major rare-disease ERT category ICER has never reviewed. Pombiliti + Opfolda splits into two simultaneous prior authorisations across Part B and Part D. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Cold Agglutinin Disease Competitive Intelligence Sutimlimab (Enjaymo) is the only FDA-approved CAD therapy — competing against off-label rituximab-based standard of care, not a branded rival. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Fabry Disease Competitive Intelligence Pegunigalsidase now challenges Fabrazyme's two-decade lead in US Fabry disease. Two IV enzyme replacement therapies meet an oral chaperone only ~35–50% of patients can take. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Rare Disease · CI Team · Launch Lead · Market Access US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Competitive Intelligence Three mechanisms chase one SMN target: a one-time $2.125M gene therapy, chronic intrathecal ASO, and daily oral. Newborn screening resets the battlefield. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Rare Disease · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Fabry Disease Payer & HTA A genetic test gates oral migalastat, and IV enzyme replacement sits in Part B. Fabrazyme has no US biosimilar, and the IRA's orphan-drug exclusion shields it from Medicare price negotiation. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Metabolic · CI Team · Launch Lead US MASH Disease Landscape The MASLD-to-MASH-to-F2-F3 funnel, NASH-CRN fibrosis staging, and the FIB-4-to-elastography diagnostic gap behind the 6.7M label-eligible pool. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Immunology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Atopic Dermatitis Disease Landscape US atopic dermatitis epidemiology — 16.5M adults, the moderate-to-severe pool, and the atopic march that frames the biologic-eligible segment. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Immunology · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Atopic Dermatitis Payer & HTA Topical-then-biologic step-therapy, JAK black-box PA gates, ICER's dupilumab-aligned and JAK-discount verdicts, and why Dupixent is not IRA-selected. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Metabolic · Market Access · Medical Affairs US MASH Payer & HTA Why Rezdiffra's $47,400 WAC lands inside ICER's value range, why the IRA reset hits semaglutide first, and how Part D routing shapes MASH access. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Metabolic · CI Team · Launch Lead US Type 2 Diabetes Disease Landscape 38.4M US adults, an 8.7M undiagnosed pool, and complication burden driving GLP-1 and SGLT2 organ-protection strategy. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Metabolic · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Type 2 Diabetes Payer & HTA Type 2 Diabetes is IRA ground zero: three orals negotiated for 2026, semaglutide at $274 for 2027, and the class price anchor reset. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Neurology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Alzheimer's Disease Disease Landscape US Alzheimer's staging, the amyloid-confirmation diagnostic pathway, and the FDA-cleared plasma pTau-217 blood test resizing the addressable pool. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Neurology · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Alzheimer's Disease Payer & HTA CMS's coverage-with-evidence-development registry, not IRA negotiation, is the anti-amyloid access gate. ICER's below-value verdict and Part B routing set the rest. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Metabolic · CI Team · Launch Lead US Obesity Disease Landscape US adult obesity at 41.9% (CDC NHANES). BMI-class distribution, severe-obesity burden, and the comorbidity segments that drive coverage. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Metabolic · Market Access · Medical Affairs US Obesity Payer & HTA Medicare covers Wegovy only for cardiovascular risk, not obesity alone. The IRA's IPAY 2027 semaglutide price applies across the franchise, and ICER returned a 2025 'high value' verdict. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Pulmonology · CI Team · Launch Lead US COPD Competitive Intelligence Two 2024 approvals moved the COPD maintenance fight past the inhaler for the first time in a decade. Ensifentrine and dupilumab split the market into an inhaler base and a biology-defined add-on tier. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Pulmonology · CI Team · Launch Lead US COPD Disease Landscape COPD is a large, under-diagnosed, exacerbation-driven US disease that has just become biomarker-stratified. The blood eosinophil count now decides which of ~14 million diagnosed adults can reach a biologic. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Pulmonology · CI Team · Launch Lead US COPD Payer & HTA COPD access is a pharmacy-benefit story: inhalers and biologics run through Medicare Part D and commercial PBMs, not medical coverage. Step edits gate the base, an eosinophil threshold gates the biologic, and the IRA is reshaping both price exposure and negotiation risk. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Immunology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Plaque Psoriasis Competitive Intelligence Six mechanisms now compete for moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis in the US, and the efficacy bar has moved from PASI 75 to PASI 90. IL-17A, dual IL-17A/F, IL-23p19, IL-12/23, TNF and oral TYK2 all hold ground. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Immunology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Plaque Psoriasis Disease Landscape Psoriasis affects about 3.0% of US adults, roughly 7.55 million people. Only the moderate-to-severe minority reaches the systemic and biologic therapies that define the commercial market. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Immunology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Plaque Psoriasis Payer & HTA US access to plaque psoriasis biologics is gated by step therapy and reshaped by two forces landing together. IRA price negotiation on Stelara and Enbrel, and biosimilar erosion of adalimumab and ustekinumab. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT CI · Oncology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Competitive Intelligence Only ribociclib has posted consistent overall-survival wins in the three-way first-line CDK4/6 contest. MONALEESA-2 showed 63.9 versus 51.4 months (HR 0.76). The real competition has moved downstream, where 2023 approvals of an oral SERD and an AKT inhibitor carve the post-CDK4/6 line by biomarker. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT DL · Oncology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Disease Landscape HR+/HER2- is the largest breast cancer subtype, roughly 68% of the estimated 317,000 new US invasive female cases in 2025. Most present early and are curable, but 20-30% recur to metastatic disease where five-year survival falls to about a third, making biomarker testing (ESR1, PIK3CA) the fork that determines the treatment path. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT P&HTA · Oncology · CI Team · Launch Lead US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Payer & HTA The price ceiling for HR+/HER2- oral therapies is now set directly by the government. Palbociclib was selected for Medicare negotiation with a 50% cut, $15,741 to $7,871, effective 2027. Access runs through Part D and commercial prior authorization, and newer targeted agents face biomarker-gated coverage with cost-effectiveness ratios far above accepted thresholds. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT SFE · Oncology · Sfe · Commercial Planning US NSCLC Field-Force Strategy NSCLC is a specialist, buy-and-bill oncology market, not a mass-reach primary-care one. A concentrated medical-oncology prescriber base, biomarker-gated prescribing, and infused immuno-oncology under Medicare Part B dictate a small, account-based key-account and MSL field model. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Myasthenia Gravis Market Sizing Model US gMG prevalence runs 100,000-200,000, but only 4,000-6,000 patients are on FcRn therapy today. 1,200-2,100 of those remain inadequately controlled. The near-term opportunity is the funnel gap, not the epidemiology total. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Bd US Sickle Cell Disease Launch Readiness Two withdrawals opened a 55,000–65,000-patient white space in Sickle Cell Disease — speed, not differentiation, is the binding constraint. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Market Sizing Model US SMA sizing splits into two live populations, not one number. 8,000-10,000 prevalent patients across Types 1-4, and a separate 500-700-patient Zolgensma-treated cohort now aging into a monitoring window where 15-20% show early motor plateau. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Hereditary Angioedema Market Sizing Model An estimated 8,000-9,000 Americans have HAE, and only 35-40% receive any prophylaxis. That leaves 2,500-4,000 attack-eligible patients never treated, a pool nearly as large as the entire treated population. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Bd US Dravet Syndrome Launch Readiness The 1,400–2,000-patient refractory Dravet cohort is the opening. REMS-free cardiac safety and a 45%-Medicaid access plan decide who reaches it. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Myasthenia Gravis Patient Flow Model 100,000-200,000 US gMG patients narrow to a 4,000-6,000 on-FcRn-therapy pool, and 1,200-2,100 of them remain inadequately controlled despite treatment. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Pulmonology · Launch Lead · Bd US COPD Launch Readiness Ensifentrine and dupilumab, both approved in 2024, already own the exacerbator add-on tier. A new entrant must clear a 31-41% exacerbation-reduction bar and pick a phenotype-agnostic or eosinophil-gated lane before it competes on anything else. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Market Access US Hereditary Angioedema Launch Readiness Binding constraint: grow the never-prophylaxed cohort before donidalorsen resets the oral efficacy bar — not switch stable lanadelumab patients. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Patient Flow Model 8,000-10,000 US SMA patients split roughly 60/27/13/under 5 percent across Types 1-4. The 500-700-patient Zolgensma cohort is what this funnel validates against. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Market Access US PNH Launch Readiness Binding constraint: beat iptacopan's oral bar in the EVH-anaemia cohort anti-C5 can't resolve — inside a pricing ceiling iptacopan already set. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Oncology · Launch Readiness US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Launch Readiness The post-CDK4/6 line in HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer is fragmented by biomarker. Elacestrant's own cost-effectiveness analysis found it 58 times above the standard willingness-to-pay threshold. That precedent is the bar a new targeted entrant must clear. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Forecasting US Hereditary Angioedema Patient Flow Model An estimated 8,000-9,000 Americans live with hereditary angioedema. Just 35-40% receive any prophylaxis, leaving 2,500-4,000 patients who meet treatment criteria untreated, the funnel this model sizes precisely. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US PNH Patient Flow Model 15,000-20,000 Americans carry a PNH clone, but only about 3,500 reach complement-inhibitor therapy. Up to 1,200 of them stay anaemic on it. This model sizes every gap in between. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Readiness US Gaucher Disease Launch Readiness Five approved Type 1 Gaucher therapies treat the body, not the brain. A genotype gate locks a meaningful share of the highest-prevalence population out of the only oral option, and a Phase 3 gene therapy trial is now racing to close that gap. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Market Access US IgA Nephropathy Launch Readiness Binding constraint: eGFR-confirmed evidence beats a second accelerated approval on UPCR surrogate data alone. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Market Access US Myasthenia Gravis Launch Readiness Binding constraint: address FcRn-inadequate responders or claim a serostatus niche — efgartigimod sets both the clinical and ICER pricing bar. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Fabry Disease Market Sizing Model Roughly 5,000-10,000 diagnosed US Fabry patients split first by GLA amenability, with 35-50% oral-eligible. ADA status narrows that to a precise 200-400 patient addressable niche, which a Fabrazyme-anchored $250-350K WAC makes commercially calculable. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Bd US Fabry Disease Launch Readiness The ADA-positive suboptimal-agalsidase-responder niche (200–400 US patients) is Fabry's only clean pre-launch opening. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Sickle Cell Disease Pricing Strategy Model Casgevy and Lyfgenia list at $2.2M and $3.1M, but the sticker price is not what gets paid. CMS's Cell and Gene Therapy Access Model, Medicaid concentration, and a $1.5-1.9M ICER ceiling decide the realised net. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Dravet Syndrome Market Sizing Model US Dravet incidence of 1 in 15,700 births is consistent with the Dravet Syndrome Foundation's 6,000-8,000 prevalence estimate. Only 35-40% of that population, 1,400-2,000 patients, remains inadequately controlled on today's two branded agents. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Pricing · Medical Affairs US Hereditary Angioedema Pricing Strategy Model Lanadelumab lists near $450,000 a year against berotralstat's roughly $95,000. ICER's 2021 fair-value benchmark for berotralstat lands almost exactly on that list price, and the three 2025 entrants carry no ICER anchor of their own. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Neurology · Launch Lead · Bd US Alzheimer's Disease Launch Readiness Two anti-amyloid agents already sit inside CMS's coverage-with-evidence-development registry. A new entrant inherits that gate and must price inside ICER's benchmark to avoid Aduhelm's fate. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Fabry Disease Patient Flow Model 5,000-10,000 diagnosed US classic Fabry patients face a 35-50% amenable-mutation gate to oral therapy. The treated population is still 60-65% on enzyme replacement. This funnel starts at diagnosis because no defensible undiagnosed estimate exists yet. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Bd US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Launch Readiness A fourth SMA drug has no room in the broad market — the opening is the 500–700-patient Zolgensma-attenuation cohort with no PA pathway yet. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Metabolic · Launch Lead · Bd US Type 2 Diabetes Launch Readiness Tirzepatide's 41% new-GLP-1 share and semaglutide's SELECT label set the efficacy and label bar. A new entrant must clear both while an IRA-reset price anchor is closing in behind it. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Immunology · Launch Lead · Bd US Plaque Psoriasis Launch Readiness Bimekizumab already clears PASI 90 in 85% of patients at week 16. A new plaque psoriasis entrant has to win on dosing interval or route, not incremental clearance, against an incumbent price anchor the IRA has already cut 66-67%. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Market Access US ATTR Amyloidosis Launch Readiness Binding constraint: capture newly diagnosed ATTR-CM volume and survive ICER's steepest value gap in the rare-disease basket. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Oncology · Forecasting · Strategy US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Market Sizing Model 316,950 annual US invasive breast cancer diagnoses and a 6.0% metastatic-at-diagnosis rate size the incident flow. Layering CDK4/6-inhibitor and post-progression pricing onto that flow, and onto the separate, larger recurrence pool, is what turns a patient count into a market value. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Metabolic · Forecasting · Strategy US Type 2 Diabetes Market Sizing Model IQVIA puts the 2023 US T2D drug market at $22B top-down. Triangulated bottom-up against 29.7M diagnosed patients out of 38.4M with the disease, the two methods converge, but per-class revenue split remains an open gap this model flags rather than invents. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Gaucher Disease Pricing Strategy Model Three IV enzyme replacement brands run ~$300,000/year with no generic rival, so preferred-ERT designation is the real pricing lever. Eliglustat's CYP2D6 gate and generic miglustat's trial-first rule complete the picture. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US IgA Nephropathy Pricing Strategy Model All five FDA-approved IgAN therapies clear the same prior-authorisation gate, not a negotiated rebate table. That gate is biopsy-confirmed diagnosis, UPCR 0.8-1.5 g/g, eGFR 30 or higher, and RAS-blockade step-through. No formal net-price data exists because access here runs on step-therapy criteria, not payer negotiation. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Dravet Syndrome Patient Flow Model 6,000-8,000 US Dravet patients, roughly three-quarters SCN1A-confirmed. 35-40% are still inadequately controlled on cannabidiol plus fenfluramine, the population any new agent must actually reach. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Metabolic · Market Access · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Obesity Pricing Strategy Model Wegovy lists at roughly $1,349 a month, but CMS pays $274 for a 30-day semaglutide supply from 2027. That 71% cut applies to Ozempic, Rybelsus and Wegovy alike. Tirzepatide sits outside the negotiation entirely, for now. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Oncology · CI Team · Launch Lead US NSCLC Launch Readiness Pembrolizumab holds an estimated 52% of first-line NSCLC on five years of precedent. Payers evaluate every new IO or targeted asset against KEYNOTE, CheckMate and IMpower coverage policy, not against a fresh trial design. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Metabolic · Market Access · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Type 2 Diabetes Pricing Strategy Model Two IRA negotiation cycles have now cut across the T2D formulary. Januvia down 79% to $113, Jardiance down 66% to $197, Farxiga down 68% to $178 from January 2026, and semaglutide down 71% to $274, with Janumet and Tradjenta added for 2027. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Immunology · Market Access · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Plaque Psoriasis Pricing Strategy Model Stelara's negotiated price falls to $4,695 from a $13,836 list, a 66% cut, effective January 2026. That is the same month ustekinumab biosimilars begin launching. Two separate pricing shocks land on one legacy biologic at once. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Cold Agglutinin Disease Market Sizing Model US cold agglutinin disease sizing starts from a rate range, not a point estimate. Incidence 0.6-1.2 and 1-year prevalence 1.4-3.1 per 100,000 imply ~5,000 prevalent patients. No published treated-share figure exists to split served from total addressable. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US PNH Pricing Strategy Model Iptacopan's ~$550,000 annual WAC sits roughly 71% above ICER's $156,000-157,000 value-based benchmark. The orphan-drug exclusion keeps anti-C5 incumbents outside IRA's reach entirely. Those are the two forces any new US PNH entrant must price against. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Lead · Bd US Pompe Disease Launch Readiness 375–600 US LOPD patients are failing next-gen ERT — ADA superiority and first-line labeling decide who can reach them. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Cold Agglutinin Disease Pricing Strategy Model Sutimlimab costs $259,000-$302,000 per patient per year. A peer-reviewed analysis puts its ICER at $2.34M/QALY, with standard of care favoured in all 10,000 probabilistic-sensitivity iterations. The value gap, not a rival drug, sets the pricing discipline. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Fabry Disease Pricing Strategy Model Fabrazyme's orphan-drug exclusion under the IRA shields it from Medicare price negotiation entirely. No rebate or net-price figure is disclosed anywhere in the primary record for any Fabry therapy. The orphan exclusion, not a discount ladder, is what a Fabry pricing strategy has to be built around. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Gaucher Disease Market Sizing Model 6,000 US Type 1 Gaucher patients size a market near $1.8 billion at ERT pricing. That MedlinePlus-sourced population sits inside a genetic sub-segment where Ashkenazi carrier frequency runs 1 in 12-15, against a general-population disease frequency of just 0.70-1.75 per 100,000. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Rare Disease · Launch Readiness US Cold Agglutinin Disease Launch Readiness Sutimlimab's CARDINAL trial left 46% of patients without a haemoglobin response. The two most-advanced next-generation complement inhibitors then abandoned cold agglutinin disease after its launch, leaving the entry gap defined by non-response and cost, not a clinical rival. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US PNH Market Sizing Model US PNH prevalence spans 15,000 to 20,000 patients across three phenotypes, but only about 3,500 are on complement-inhibitor therapy. A 2.4-year average diagnostic delay, plus 200 to 400 patients a year undertreated at non-PNH centres, accounts for most of that gap. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Dravet Syndrome Pricing Strategy Model Fintepla's weight-based list price runs roughly 3x Epidiolex. Payers work that gap through step-edit design layered on Part D pharmacy-benefit routing, and no generic cannabidiol reaches the US market before the late 2030s. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US ATTR Amyloidosis Patient Flow Model 500,000+ US patients aged 70+ with HFpEF carry undiagnosed ATTRwt-CM, against only 70,000-100,000 diagnosed and treated. Two further sub-populations, Val122Ile carriers and ATTR-PN, remain even less visible. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US IgA Nephropathy Patient Flow Model 150,000 US IgA nephropathy patients, of whom 70,000-90,000 are biopsy-confirmed. Only 5,000-8,000 are on novel therapy today, while 15,000-25,000 patients with UPCR above 1g/g remain the addressable high-risk cohort this model sizes precisely. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US IgA Nephropathy Market Sizing Model An estimated 150,000 Americans have IgA nephropathy, but only 70,000-90,000 are biopsy-confirmed. Just 5,000-8,000 are on a disease-specific therapy today, within a 15,000-25,000-patient high-risk eligible cohort. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Immunology · Launch Lead · Bd US Atopic Dermatitis Launch Readiness Dupilumab's 70% share sets the biologic entrenchment bar. The 2022 JAK boxed warning sets a second, harder gate for any oral entrant. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Metabolic · Launch Lead · Market Access US Obesity Launch Readiness Wegovy and Zepbound already occupy the injectable position. A new entrant must clear the 20.9% efficacy bar and price beneath the $274 IRA reset arriving in 2027. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Pompe Disease Market Sizing Model US Pompe prevalence runs 5,000 to 10,000 patients, 70-80% late-onset. Of the roughly 2,000 LOPD patients on enzyme replacement therapy, 375 to 600 are inadequate responders, the addressable population any new agent must reach. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US ATTR Amyloidosis Pricing Strategy Model Tafamidis prices 12-17x above ICER's fair-value benchmark, yet the orphan-drug exclusion keeps it out of IRA negotiation. Acoramidis and pending generics, not Medicare, now set net price. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT LR · Metabolic · Launch Lead · Bd US MASH Launch Readiness Rezdiffra and Wegovy already hold the noncirrhotic F2-F3 label. The clearer opening for a new entrant is the compensated-cirrhosis boundary neither drug covers. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT KOL · Oncology · Medical Affairs · Medical Affairs US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- KOL Mapping A 9,146-patient US real-world study found no significant survival difference between palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib. When the drugs perform equivalently, KOL guidance decides which one gets prescribed, not clinical data. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Metabolic · Forecasting · Strategy US MASH Market Sizing Model 6.7 million Americans have F2-F3 MASH, but Rezdiffra has already reported 42,250+ patients on therapy and $311.3M in Q1 2026 revenue. This model triangulates population against real uptake, not a modeled guess. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Sickle Cell Disease Patient Flow Model An estimated 100,000 US sickle cell patients narrow to a 55,000-65,000-patient pool with no adequate novel therapy. Only 50-100 of the gene-therapy-eligible minority were actually treated in year one. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Pompe Disease Patient Flow Model 5,000-10,000 Americans live with Pompe disease. Roughly 2,000 late-onset patients are on enzyme replacement therapy, and 375-600 of them, one in four, are inadequate responders, the subtype this model is built to size. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Pompe Disease Pricing Strategy Model Pompe ERT WAC runs near $400,000 a year, and the Pombiliti + Opfolda regimen splits across Medicare Part B and Part D. Zero ICER reviews exist today, with one expected in 2025 and a 12-month J-code lead time for any new entrant. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Myasthenia Gravis Pricing Strategy Model ICER priced efgartigimod's value at $18,300-28,400 a year, under half its ~$418,400 assumed launch price. That gap is hardening into a three-tier step-edit staircase across US commercial and Part B plans. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Oncology · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Pricing Strategy Model Ibrance's Medicare-negotiated price takes effect a full year before Kisqali's and Verzenio's. Three clinically equivalent drugs, staggered IRA negotiation cycles, means Pfizer sets the reference point Novartis and Lilly then have to negotiate against. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PFM · Oncology · Forecasting · Launch Lead US Breast Cancer HR+/HER2- Patient Flow Model 316,950 new US invasive breast cancer diagnoses in 2025. Only 6.0% present as metastatic at diagnosis, but 73.9% of the metastatic population is HR+/HER2-, the subtype this model is actually built to size. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US Sickle Cell Disease Market Sizing Model A ~100,000-patient US SCD population narrows to a 55,000-65,000-patient addressable white space. Only 50-100 gene-therapy patients were actually treated in the first 12 months, versus 200-300 projected. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT PSM · Rare Disease · Medical Affairs · Pricing US Spinal Muscular Atrophy Pricing Strategy Model Zolgensma's $2.125M sticker price obscures the real US SMA pricing lever. A 10-state Medicaid outcomes-based annuity pays $212,500 a year for ten years, set against chronic Spinraza and Evrysdi costs and a Part B/Part D routing split that changes patient cost by drug. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT MSM · Rare Disease · Forecasting · Strategy US ATTR Amyloidosis Market Sizing Model An estimated 500,000+ US patients aged 70+ have undiagnosed ATTRwt-CM, against only 70,000-100,000 currently diagnosed and treated. A separate 100,000+ Val122Ile hereditary carrier pool sits alongside it. US · In-Market · 24–32 pp · PDF · Excel · PPT

Access in the United States is decided by benefit design before it is decided by evidence. An infused specialty product runs through Part B at ASP plus a percentage and is dispensed by the site of care; an oral runs through Part D and a pharmacy benefit manager's formulary. The same molecule can face a step edit in one channel and none in the other, and the difference is worth more than most efficacy margins.

Three forces now shape the picture. Prior authorisation and step therapy gate most specialty categories, with the criteria — not the label — defining who is actually treatable. Cost-effectiveness review by ICER sits outside the coverage decision but anchors the public argument about price. And Inflation Reduction Act negotiation has begun resetting list prices across selected products, with the orphan-drug exclusion shielding some rare-disease assets from it entirely — a distinction that decides whether a franchise faces a price cut at all.

AXLRx US reports are built around those mechanics. They set out the channel an asset will actually be reimbursed through, the prior-authorisation criteria that gate it, the comparator set payers will hold it against, and where the coverage argument is won.

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