Rare Disease · United Kingdom · In-Market

UK Hereditary Angioedema Pricing Strategy Model

Three NICE technology appraisals (TA606, TA738, TA1101) each carry a confidential Patient Access Scheme, so garadacimab's published £20,625 per-pen price is the only fully transparent figure in the class, and two MHRA-licensed agents still have no NICE-confirmed net price.

6-sheet model3 NICE PAS discountsIn-MarketUpdated Q3 2026
Market United States United Kingdom GCC (Gulf) Stage
The Landscape

Three NICE technology appraisals gate UK HAE pricing, each behind a confidential PAS discount; garadacimab's £20,625-per-pen list is the only fully transparent price point in the class.

NICE has issued three positive technology appraisals for HAE prophylaxis in England, and every one carries a confidential simple-discount Patient Access Scheme, so published list prices understate the real net cost NHS England actually pays. Lanadelumab (Takhzyro), recommended under TA606 in October 2019, carries a PAS discount estimated at 50 to 60 percent off UK list price, bringing net NHS cost to roughly £180,000 to £200,000 a year per patient. Berotralstat (Orladeyo), recommended under TA738 in October 2021 for patients with two or more attacks a month, lists at approximately £133,121 a year before its own confidential discount. Garadacimab (Andembry), the newest entrant under TA1101 published October 2025, prices at £20,625 per pre-filled pen, the only fully transparent list figure across the three NICE-recommended agents, since its appraisal is recent enough that a public discount narrative has not yet obscured the base price.

Two MHRA-licensed agents sit earlier in the pricing conversation entirely. Donidalorsen (Dawnzera) has an open NICE draft guidance consultation and no confirmed final price; sebetralstat (Ekterly), the first oral on-demand agent, has favourable draft guidance and an EAMS bridge from March 2025 but likewise no NICE-confirmed net cost. Every one of NICE's three positive appraisals worked within the ordinary £20,000 to £30,000 per QALY threshold, the standard technology appraisal bar rather than the more permissive highly specialised technology route. Any new entrant's pricing model has to clear that same threshold on its own health-economic case, not inherit a more generous rare-disease allowance.

3
NICE technology appraisals recommending HAE prophylaxis (TA606 lanadelumab, TA738 berotralstat, TA1101 garadacimab), each with a confidential PAS
£133,121
Berotralstat's published annualised list price under NICE TA738, before its own confidential discount
£20,625
Garadacimab's list price per pre-filled pen under NICE TA1101, the only fully transparent list figure in the class
£20-30K
Per-QALY threshold NICE applied to all three positive appraisals, the standard technology appraisal bar
PRICE LADDER MECHANICS

UK HAE pricing — three NICE-recommended agents and two still in appraisal

AgentNICE StatusList PriceEstimated Net Cost / QALY Threshold
Takhzyro (lanadelumab)TA606 (Oct 2019), confidential PASList undisclosed publicly at drug levelEst. net £180,000-£200,000/yr; £20-30K/QALY threshold cleared
Orladeyo (berotralstat)TA738 (Oct 2021), confidential PAS, 3-month stop rule~£133,121/yr before discountNet cost undisclosed; same £20-30K/QALY threshold
Andembry (garadacimab)TA1101 (Oct 2025), confidential PAS£20,625/pre-filled penOnly fully transparent list price in the class
Dawnzera (donidalorsen) / Ekterly (sebetralstat)Draft guidance stage, no final decisionNot yet confirmedPending NICE final appraisal

Sources: NICE TA606 Final Appraisal Determination (lanadelumab), 2019; NICE TA738 Final Appraisal Determination (berotralstat), 2021; NICE TA1101 (garadacimab), published 8 October 2025; NICE in-development project pages for donidalorsen and sebetralstat; UK HAE Alliance real-world outcomes survey, 2022-2023.

Commercial Questions

What this model answers

Every section answers a named commercial question your team is asking, scoped to your asset.

01
How does a confidential PAS discount change the real net cost of TA606 lanadelumab and TA738 berotralstat, and what does that mean for a new entrant's pricing model?

Delivers

  • PAS discount mechanics under TA606 and TA738
  • the estimated net-cost range each produces
  • how to model an undisclosed discount for a comparator
02
Why is garadacimab's £20,625 per-pen list price the only fully transparent figure in the class, and what does TA1101 tell us about NICE's current pricing bar?

Delivers

  • TA1101 appraisal detail and per-pen pricing structure
  • the £20-30K/QALY threshold applied
  • positioning implications for a new entrant's list price
03
What pricing precedent applies to donidalorsen and sebetralstat while their NICE appraisals remain open, and what should a comparator agent assume?

Delivers

  • Donidalorsen and sebetralstat's current appraisal status
  • EAMS bridge mechanics for sebetralstat
  • scenario pricing pending each drug's final NICE decision

Custom model delivered in 72 hours.

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Contents

What's inside

Rare Disease · 24–32 pp · In-Market · Analyst report + Excel model + PowerPoint readout

1 The Binding Constraint 2 pp
  • Why the confidential PAS discount, not the published list price, decides real net cost
  • Pressure-tested against the TA606/TA738/TA1101 precedent
2 Price Ladder — Three NICE-Recommended Agents 3 pp
  • Lanadelumab, berotralstat and garadacimab list prices and estimated net cost
  • Garadacimab's per-pen structure as the transparent reference point
3 PAS Discount Mechanics & QALY Threshold 3 pp
  • How NICE's simple-discount PAS interacts with the £20-30K/QALY bar
  • Estimating an undisclosed comparator discount
4 Agents Still in Appraisal — Donidalorsen & Sebetralstat 3 pp
  • NICE draft guidance status and the EAMS bridge mechanism
  • Scenario pricing pending final NICE decisions
5 NHS Acute-Therapy Cost Offset in the Economic Case 3 pp
  • Berinert and Firazyr rescue-therapy cost as part of the prophylaxis value argument
  • How the offset strengthens a new entrant's NICE submission
6 Launch Pricing Scenarios & Sensitivity 4 pp
  • Conservative, base and aggressive PAS-adjusted pricing scenarios
  • Sensitivity to NICE's QALY threshold and stop-rule design
7 Client Alignment Questions 2 pp
  • The open pricing questions your team must close before the NICE submission is locked
  • Structured for an internal pricing committee session
Appendix and source ledger included · 45-minute analyst readout included with delivery
Formats

Included with every brief

PDF
PDF Brief
Pricing Strategy Brief — Complete Edition
PDF methodology brief accompanying the 6-sheet pricing model: NICE PAS mechanics, price ladder, QALY threshold and launch scenarios for HAE UK.
XLS
Excel Model
Pricing Strategy Model — Excel
6-sheet editable model: Price Ladder, PAS Discount & QALY Sensitivity, Agents in Appraisal, Acute-Therapy Cost Offset, Launch Scenarios, Sources.
Methodology

How AXLRx builds this model

Prepared by MoatRx analysts.

Every AXLRx pricing model is built from NICE's published technology appraisal documentation and live NHS commissioning cost data, not secondary summaries. Findings are independently verified before inclusion.

UK HAE pricing sources: NICE TA606, TA738 and TA1101 Final Appraisal Determinations, NICE in-development project pages for donidalorsen and sebetralstat, and the UK HAE Alliance real-world outcomes survey 2022-2023.

  • Berotralstat's £133,121 list price and garadacimab's £20,625 per-pen price verified against the live NICE TA738 and TA1101 guidance pages
  • Lanadelumab's estimated net cost verified against NHS England commissioning cost data and the UK HAE Alliance real-world outcomes survey
  • Donidalorsen and sebetralstat's appraisal status confirmed as draft guidance stage with no final decision, based on live NICE in-development project pages
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Deliverables
What formats are included with every model?
Every commissioned Pricing Strategy Model includes an editable 6-sheet Excel model (Price Ladder, PAS Discount & QALY Sensitivity, Agents in Appraisal, Acute-Therapy Cost Offset, Launch Scenarios, Sources) and a PDF methodology brief, no PowerPoint deck. An optional 45-minute analyst readout call is included.
Sources
How is the pricing evidence verified?
AXLRx builds from primary sources only: NICE technology appraisal documentation and NHS commissioning cost data. No secondary summaries or market research reports. Every list price and PAS estimate is independently verified before inclusion.
Customisation
Can I model a specific comparator set or NICE pathway question?
Yes. The intake form captures your indication, target comparator set, and the specific NICE pathway question you need answered. A scoping call confirms scope before research starts. Commission via the intake form to start.
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Commission this model

AXLRx delivers UK HAE pricing strategy models built for pricing and market access teams navigating NICE's PAS discount structure and the QALY threshold. Custom model in 72 hours.

1
Submit your request

Specify your indication, comparator set, and the NICE pathway question you need answered.

2
Scoping call

AXLRx analyst confirms PAS assumptions and QALY threshold scope before building.

3
Delivery

Research-verified pricing model in 72 hours with optional analyst readout.